Is China Trying to Strengthen the Yen?

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    Yesterday, the Japanese government intervened in the currency market in an attempt to stop the yen’s continuing rise versus the dollar. The intervention managed to push the value from about 75 yen to the dollar to about 79 yen to the dollar. If the value of the dollar doesn’t drop again, this will be good news for Japanese exporters.

    Finance Minister Jun Azumi said in Tokyo he will “continue to intervene until I am satisfied,” after yen sales yesterday that Credit Suisse Group AG analysts estimated may have exceeded $50 billion. The intervention was the first since August, when Japan spent 4.51 trillion yen ($57 billion) seeking to stem the currency’s surge to a postwar high against the dollar.

    However, it may not be enough. There are outside forces that can cancel out the billions that Japan spent in this latest intervention. One of these forces is the Chinese government, and it seems that some people suspect that China is deliberately trying to drive up the value of the yen (article is from September):

    As the yen hovered near a 15-year high against the US dollar yesterday, Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda called for talks with China over its recent yen buying spree, which has helped drive the Japanese currency higher, making Japanese goods less competitive with China’s.

    “I don’t know the true intention” of China regarding its growing appetite for yen-denominated bonds, Mr Noda said before parliament’s upper house. He promised that Tokyo would “closely co-operate,” with Beijing on the subject. “We are paying close attention” Mr Noda said.

    As this news report from ANN shows, Japan’s intervention in August was canceled out within a single day. If yesterday’s intervention is to have lasting results, the Japanese government may have to repeatedly intervene and purchase billions of dollars, especially if it has to counteract large Chinese purchases of yen.

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