In a relatively short period of time at the current low birth rates in Japan (by 2040 my memory tells me, but human memory is enormously fallible, so go check it yourself) more than half of the population of Japan will be over 60 years of age. Japan is slightly ahead of Hong Kong in this trend, but not much (I live and work in HK). But HK has the advantage that they only have to open a slight gap in the immigration regulations to have 1 billion Chinese setting up home in Hong Kong. Japan has no such option.

So the concerns expressed by people in the government are correct, there is a disaster looming. But of course, their way of expressing their concern is probably affected by self interest – like having no-one to govern because they are all half deaf or in wheel chairs or survive only in heart-lung machines.

It seems that one of the problems is that most of the people in the government fall into one of those categories.

So lets get beack to the real subject .. having kids is great for most couples, BUT

The cost of feeding, housing, educating, and careing for the health of said children has gone through the the historic roof. Once upon a time you could live in a barewalls house anywhere in the world, have ten or more children, feed them until they could help feed themselves (usually by the age of 5 or 6 when they could help on the farm. Then when you got old and couldn’t work any more, theose same children, and your grand children could help you to die in peace and happiness.

This was the picture until the beginnings of the 20th century.

Just 100 years later, a blink of the eye in historical terms, we are beginning to see the result of the short-sighted industrialization of the world. To have a “decent” – American style – life for all the people on the planet Earth we would need another 5 planets to plunder for trees, coal, iron, gas.. all those natrual resources that developed countries consume without thinking, myself included.

Me, without aircon, you must be kidding! My brain stops once it goes over 25 degC and 90% humidity.

I am beginning to realise that the real challenge is how to cope with a reduction of population world-wide. There is no other solution. At the best we can ask the planet to support 3 to 5 times less people than we have now.

Logically we will have to pass through a period where there are few children or teenagers. When many of our friends have white hair. A bizarre world indeed.

A world where deciding to die is regarded as social heroics, those brave enough to take the step.

Wowee! Kinda heavy stuff. I think that is why we all avoid it.

Comments? But better ..constructive thoughts. Colonizing Mars or Titan as an international multi-country effort might give us new strength ..perhaps. At least a backup if Mother Earth gives up the ghost and tuirns into a radiation socaked dustball.

Anyways, I made my 2 kids with the help of a willing “baby making machine”. Fortunately we did it in a country where the cost of housing, schooling, health is far lower than in Japan or Hong Kong. I would not so it in the current climate, no way!

You can only squeeze the orange so hard. After that, there is no more juice, only pain in your fingers.

Is it time to stop dreaming that we have any choice now?

But what Yanagisawa’s comment really demonstrates is that the LDP basically has its own interests foremost in mind: the more kids people have, the more money there will be for government retirement benefits.

Rather than figuring out a workable strategy to deal with reality, the LDP apparently thinks it’s easier to brainwash people into doing what makes it easier for the LDP to run the government; in this case: have more babies.

Shameful.

It happen in my part of Canada. Back in the 70s, there was a massive boom centred on my city (due to discovering oil), and the population grew over ten times what it was in a short period. Then we hit a fifteen year recession, and the city turned into a pit of poverty and crime. The local economy has healed in the last ten years, and it’s not so much of a problem, but, yeah, it’s better to have a labour shortage than more people than your economy can employ.

I’ll have to find that survey myself…

Anything complaints are just from people who just want to see him gone.

Here’s a link to an *excellent* on-line essay:
http://migration.ucdavis.edu/rs/more.php?id=39_0_3_0

I don’t know what the current immigration situation is (apart from the lack of dual residency, which is a shame), but perhaps they should introduce a system where those who wish to naturalise can demonstrate their knowledge of the country by passing an exam (like they have in America). At least then someone will take an interest in preserving the unique Japanese culture, even if it is just the gaijin.